BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//Mean Free Path//LIMES veille//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
X-WR-CALNAME:Frontier dates (Mean Free Path)
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:02f51b1e-9fcb-4186-8cbe-3dfcf6d0bc64
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T082445Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20261231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20270101
SUMMARY:MFP · The ECHA committees hand their PFAS opinions to the Commissi
 on (quarter)
DESCRIPTION:Type: milestone\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://echa.europa.e
 u/hot-topics/perfluoroalkyl-chemicals-pfas\nPage: https://pierreribault.co
 m/dates/02f51b1e/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/02f51b1e/
CATEGORIES:milestone
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:eb21b58a-b211-4da4-9a88-970cde4b4c7b
SEQUENCE:3
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20261231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20270101
SUMMARY:MFP · Interlune's Crescent Moon camera flies on Astrobotic's Griff
 in-1 lander (quarter)
DESCRIPTION:Type: milestone\nStatus: pending\nDerived: Article dated May 4\
 , 2026 says "later this year"\, hence by end of 2026\nAnchor: "later this 
 year"\nSource: https://spacenews.com/interlune-wins-nasa-contract-for-heli
 um-3-extraction-payload/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/eb21b58a/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/eb21b58a/
CATEGORIES:milestone
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:996de854-efb6-4123-a519-4cd5075e93a7
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095715Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20261127
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20261128
SUMMARY:MFP · China's suspension of the materials clause of its 3 December
  2024 decree ends
DESCRIPTION:Type: deadline\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://www.gvw.com/en
 /news/blog/detail/china-export-control-update\nPage: https://pierreribault
 .com/dates/996de854/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/996de854/
CATEGORIES:deadline
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:93501d57-8b0d-4773-9c83-08efcd589563
SEQUENCE:0
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20270630
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20270701
SUMMARY:MFP · The RoHS exemption for lead in glass and ceramic components 
 expires
DESCRIPTION:Type: deadline\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://eur-lex.europa
 .eu/eli/dir_del/2025/2363/oj\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/93501d
 57/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/93501d57/
CATEGORIES:deadline
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:8f641b5e-ac43-4b2a-8d15-244f2e268d2b
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20271231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20280101
SUMMARY:MFP · Russia's helium export controls expire or are renewed (quart
 er)
DESCRIPTION:Type: deadline\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://interfax.com/n
 ewsroom/top-stories/117116/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/8f641b5
 e/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/8f641b5e/
CATEGORIES:deadline
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:20c7de5d-a7e5-4eac-abe3-a367d671e973
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20281231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20290101
SUMMARY:MFP · B3: if Orion runs on deuterium and helium-3 for its 2028 Mic
 rosoft commitment\, Helion sells surplus helium-3 before a full year of el
 ectricity (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: bet\nStatus: pending\nBet: B3\nSource: https://techcrunch
 .com/2026/02/13/fusion-startup-helion-hits-blistering-temps-as-it-races-to
 ward-2028-deadline/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/20c7de5d/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/20c7de5d/
CATEGORIES:bet
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:25736278-31ba-4dd3-b131-3350f8cf5874
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20281231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20290101
SUMMARY:MFP · Helion's Orion plant meets its Microsoft delivery deadline (
 year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: deadline\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://techcrunch.com
 /2026/02/13/fusion-startup-helion-hits-blistering-temps-as-it-races-toward
 -2028-deadline/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/25736278/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/25736278/
CATEGORIES:deadline
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:4da08f30-6042-4ac0-9472-8d390b25fd29
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20281231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20290101
SUMMARY:MFP · Interlune's first deliveries to Bluefors fall due (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: deadline\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://www.prnewswire
 .com/news-releases/bluefors-to-source-helium-3-from-the-moon-with-interlun
 e-to-power-next-phase-of-quantum-industry-growth-302557532.html\nPage: htt
 ps://pierreribault.com/dates/4da08f30/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/4da08f30/
CATEGORIES:deadline
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:9a3a576f-73e2-4042-b988-d88d4f1a94e8
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20291231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20300101
SUMMARY:MFP · The universal PFAS restriction starts to apply\, not before 
 2029 (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: milestone\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://www.cov.com/e
 n/news-and-insights/insights/2026/03/echa-launches-a-new-public-consultati
 on-on-a-proposed-universal-ban-on-pfas-in-the-eu\nPage: https://pierreriba
 ult.com/dates/9a3a576f/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/9a3a576f/
CATEGORIES:milestone
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:05e71e0f-a644-41a5-a8ff-f62dc39424d4
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20301231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20310101
SUMMARY:MFP · B4: real quantum-driven demand stays below ten thousand lite
 rs a year through 2030 (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: bet\nStatus: pending\nBet: B4\nSource: https://pierreriba
 ult.com/essays/the-warhead-dividend/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/date
 s/05e71e0f/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/05e71e0f/
CATEGORIES:bet
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:56313ad6-b615-47d6-a4a5-389b6e11d82a
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20300101
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20300102
SUMMARY:MFP · B1: on 1 January 2030\, more than ninety percent of commerci
 ally sold helium-3 still traces to tritium decay
DESCRIPTION:Type: bet\nStatus: pending\nBet: B1\nSource: https://pierreriba
 ult.com/essays/the-warhead-dividend/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/date
 s/56313ad6/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/56313ad6/
CATEGORIES:bet
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:5c98338a-52b1-4b1b-85b8-bc1e208d4086
SEQUENCE:2
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20310331
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20310401
SUMMARY:MFP · Ras Laffan window closes (month)
DESCRIPTION:Type: milestone\nStatus: pending\nDerived: March 2026 plus up t
 o five years\, hence by March 2031\nAnchor: "up to five years"\nSource: ht
 tps://www.agbi.com/industry/2026/03/qatari-lng-shutdown-puts-11-of-global-
 helium-supply-at-risk/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/5c98338a/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/5c98338a/
CATEGORIES:milestone
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:b744a684-af84-4dc8-ba6c-509d098de18b
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20351231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20360101
SUMMARY:MFP · A3: diamond disk capacity becomes the schedule-limiting item
  of a major electron-cyclotron heating program before 2035 (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: bet\nStatus: pending\nBet: A3\nSource: https://pierreriba
 ult.com/essays/the-banned-shelf/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/b7
 44a684/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/b744a684/
CATEGORIES:bet
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:ba271308-d9e5-4362-8cdf-eb0062df4127
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20371231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20380101
SUMMARY:MFP · The Interlune to Bluefors delivery window closes (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: milestone\nStatus: pending\nSource: https://www.prnewswir
 e.com/news-releases/bluefors-to-source-helium-3-from-the-moon-with-interlu
 ne-to-power-next-phase-of-quantum-industry-growth-302557532.html\nPage: ht
 tps://pierreribault.com/dates/ba271308/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/ba271308/
CATEGORIES:milestone
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:90a31f99-0394-486f-b559-817bbcca12b3
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20401231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20410101
SUMMARY:MFP · A2: printed monolithic bodies remove most brazed joints from
  production tubes by 2040 (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: bet\nStatus: pending\nBet: A2\nSource: https://pierreriba
 ult.com/essays/the-banned-shelf/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/90
 a31f99/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/90a31f99/
CATEGORIES:bet
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:a79bbd5f-0461-4acc-ade9-5d6939a05372
SEQUENCE:1
DTSTAMP:20260822T095405Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20401231
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20410101
SUMMARY:MFP · A1: the first mainstream tube family to abandon the thermion
 ic dispenser does it over barium supply and compliance\, lifetime parity u
 nproven (year)
DESCRIPTION:Type: bet\nStatus: pending\nBet: A1\nSource: https://pierreriba
 ult.com/essays/the-banned-shelf/\nPage: https://pierreribault.com/dates/a7
 9bbd5f/
URL:https://pierreribault.com/dates/a79bbd5f/
CATEGORIES:bet
STATUS:TENTATIVE
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR